Next year’s pink salmon
harvest forecast for Southeast Alaska is anticipating a run
statistically on the stronger side, though the numbers
may not be particularly optimistic for fishermen still reeling from a disappointing 2016 run.
The 2017 report predicts the coming run will fall within in the “strong” range, with a point estimate of 43 million fish and an 80-percent confidence interval.
To produce the
forecast, researchers adjusted past harvest trends using peak June-July juvenile pink salmon abundance data from 2016. Using exponential smoothing, all harvests since 1960 were factored into t...
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